EU Parliament, The Israeli Elections, The World Parliaments Division … The Three Pillar Questions. A Deep Analysis
Between 23 and 26 of May, the EU Parliament Elections were supposed to take place when it was later pushed to July 2 where the first round of elections failed to pick the President of the European Parliament. Most of you may think, so what? What is so extraordinary about the EU? And why mentioning Israel
My indisputable analytic Data in my last article about Brexit the two key powers: ‘Get ready to witness the next Parliament Speaker to be a woman’ and ‘Frans Timmermans –candidate of the Party of European Socialists- to hold the trophy as the next President of the EU Parliament’. Unexpectedly, the first round of the EU Parliament elections failed to elect its President by voting among the official front runners candidates, took the second round to elect David Sassoli, an Italian former journalist and the EU Commission nominee. Nothing contradicts the strong base of my article, the rise of Nationalism by the affiliation of Timmermans and Sassoli to the Party of European Socialists and the Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats Party. Both belong to the Socialist school of thoughts advocating Nationalism in terms of ‘globalism’ vs ‘conservatism’ fearing the next economic world shift that Brexit is putting Europe through
How the change surged at a sudden? Why understanding the EU function mechanism is important with regards to the Iranian Nuclear Deal
The morning of July 2, Chancellor Angela Merkel surprises everyone by nominating Ursula Von Der Leyen, the first female leading the EU Commission (Parliament Speaker) as its President, when David Sassoli was a nominee. Taking that President Macron and Chancellor Merkel couldn’t agree on a best candidate, previously Germany’s defense Minister Von Der Leyen, emerged to win the battle over the EU Commission Presidency. Ever since France, Germany and Italy are the major power components of the EU, Italy dissatisfaction over the nomination, ended by pushing the Parliamentary votes to elect Sassoli its President. What Europe is witnessing is a huge resentment of division on both economic and cultural sides. So does the EU three main institutions. The EU Parliament have an indirect effect on Foreign Policy especially what previously debated, the cessation of Iranian nuclear development. Sassoli being affiliated with Socialism or “the silent minority post globalization”, ideally a strong negotiator who poses fundamental ties with Brexit, nonetheless stressing on the backstop and holding all responsibility on the UK if no-deal occurs. Sassoli representing the EU citizens since elected by the EU Parliamentary members whom are directly elected by the people. The powerful silent minority in Europe have strong beliefs that multinationalism in a country along with the open economy have corrupted possible opportunities for locals, and have damaged small businesses that made the rich richer and poor poorer (I will not proceed with the development of the failure of globalization argument in my current article). What does it hint, that nationalism is here to stay and demand a new contract between the citizens and their rulers. The EU Commission on the other hand have deep limitation to negotiate Foreign Policy making this EU body restricted to “only think European” and mainly focuses on drafting legislations and have power to represent the EU on Trade deals for the benefit of the EU citizens. Most important, the EU Commission have power to draw up the budget for the EU. The EU Commission members are only proposed by their state governments and its President is directly appointed by the EU Council where this EU body is directly affiliated to the overall political matters and its Presidency held by a national government Charles Michel the Prime Minister of Belgium.
November 1, 2019, Europe starts departing from Brexit Negotiations to Handle Boots on Ground Matters
It makes more sense to look separately at the division of the three EU body institutions. Charles Michel associated with the Reformist Movement Party, David Sassoli associated with the Socialists Democrats Party, and finally Ursula Von Der Leyen associated with the European’s People’s Party. The Plan to move without Brexit deal has been set up. My followers and readers clearly recall on my article “Von Der Leyen, a strong name but weak candidate”. By appointing Von Der Leyen, Sassoli rose to be the most powerful tie breaker on Brexit. Von Der Leyen could not hold any negotiation to confront Johnson on Brexit deal, for instance making her the best suitable candidate to hold the top job as a representative of the European’s Party and as I expected a woman rising to lead it. No one for instance makes a better alternative appointee helping Europe managing the recession post Brexit, faster than expected as the main function and power to the EU Commission President than her. A weaker flag as an EU Commissioner President and since Von Der Leyer is representing the EU on Trade deal, her biggest war includes the battles with the US President, Donald. J Trump. Once in Power on the other hand, no one could ever fit better than Ursula to lead on the Defense budget.
The Bipolarity among Boris Johnson and David Sassoli will be escalating to break-off without a deal. David Sassoli will no doubt strongly cooperate with US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo against Iran Nuclear development as the EU previously negotiated since Obama’s term. As Sassoli in charge of the EU Foreign Policy Affairs, I see a clear alienation among the EU Parliament President, Johnson and Pompeo. Ever mentioned Sassoli a strong advocate of ‘isolationism’ policy, it should get clearer to everyone how the world is building the political wall to preserve Democracy. Of course, despite the economic differences among the EU elected and appointees, there is a common point on keeping the world safe and prosperous from any nuclear or war threat. Von Der Leyen, a previous Germany’s Defense Minister, always pushed on great Military Budget, planning on resurging the European voice when it comes to Defense, making Europe Security A priority facing what the Middle East could go through post America’s 2020 Elections. There exist a beautiful pattern between nationalism and populism in Europe. Everyone is aware of Iran’s threat to destabilize the EU continent if any financial or military strike hit the Middle East or Near East region. The EU citizens’ awareness of such a threat has emerged from years of learning from the past of WWI and WWII. On the other side of the EU continent, what is exactly railing in the Middle East
Tuesday Israeli Elections. What Does It Tell Us? Can Bibi Win a Second Turn
September the 17th and for the first time in its history, Israel holds a second elections after the failure of Bibi to form a coalition government according to Neil Lazarus podcast and other media sources. Among my research upon the Israeli next elections, there have been a major statement “Trump Peace Plan” is jeopardized by electing Netanyahu and forming a right-wing cabinet. The truth is, the appropriate answer to what will possibly happen tomorrow is: NO ONE KNOWS! The World Parliaments are So Divided. The division is not only happening in the UK, or America, nor in Europe. The division is real in Israel too, making it impossible to settle for one agreement when it comes to foreign and local matter. The world prediction is becoming harder. Deceptive news running all over are largely symbolic of what has been happening since the elections of Trump, the EU Parliamentary elections, moving to Israel, but never hanging on there. The Lebanese Parliamentary will be facing even toughest division post Israel elections. Of course, a deeper concern about Hizbollah. Beat them, don’t join them. But the most realistic vision post Bolton departure calls on 2 framing rhetorics: The Fact that the EU Commissioner was a previous Defense Minister, Bibi front rival a former IDF personnel, makes a yes option, the Israel elections might be surprising to see the current PM Netanyahu departing, just like Bolton. On a second more realistic vision and what I am certain of is the hard possibilities to make any peace plan at any near future between Israel and Palestine, confirming thus Bibi a winner in the second round to lead Israel with a more far-right Knesset putting the Peace Plan aside.
Peace Plan, or Leadership background matter
Let’s find out tonight the most accurate strategic analytic that will definitely clear up the reading of the FP in the next coming 4 years.
There will be no offered opportunity to any peace nor deal plan unless the second party is bankrupt from its own internal resources. Conservatism is in practice. World shifts are happening unexpectedly without loud echo. We all remember the Saudi coup that lead Crowned Prince MBS to the throne, the new technology emerging even in crafting policies in the political world, not only in the AI world.
What About the Financial and Currency Cost? What to Expect Next
Despite big governments pulling out of the globalized world, many been asking: A crash or no Crash? As a more realist analyst, managing big results entails drawing more narrowed results to balance insecurities I would flip the question: Will there be any plan to fast recovery? In this case, there is no escape from the starting point zero, each nation for itself. Europe have set themselves up budgeting for Technology, Climate Change and Financial Stability. Clearly The EU is thinking only European, securing jobs for their citizens, enhancing Democracy despite the divisive world order. Liberals of Europe post Brexit, will portray a great challenge to the dependent underdeveloped countries where no foreign aid will be listed as an interest alike preceded decade an open common globe. The Liberal world we used to know is in peril on the financial side. The recovery for some countries will be dependent on their fast cooperation to political virtues that Democracy is struggling between an economic expansion vs a political expansion. The last decade profoundly crafted a liberal order isolating the old world order and replacing it by a chaotic magnet of e-chained hub thus raised the question: How at a certain point we started to appreciate nations that have never witnessed Democratic ruling for the last 100 years to be passed the leadership and to be their pro-forces? By closing borders and e-borders, the world will gain back their political order, unfortunately making it hard the survival for countries upholding the ties with illegitimate governments within governments.
The flip of the top 1% through the financial and economic flip has already begun. The world has silently turned into a new chapter post-closing the chapter of WII. Every social class have begun to feel the growing muscles of new policies while keeping the peace agenda as a major responsibility to protect. Yet, it isn’t common to all neighborhood countries. Most challenging time will be controversially revisionist, the battle for Democracy has just begun. What will be next after the last elections, you can find
it out in my next article.
